Palmeiras Wvs
Bahia W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palmeiras W 1-1 Bahia W
Original prediction
Palmeiras W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.5% | 50.1% | -20.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.6% | 26.5% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 8.38 | 10.9% | 23.4% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras W
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Palmeiras W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00