Palmeirasvs
LDU de Quito
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Palmeiras 0-0 LDU de Quito, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Palmeiras 1-0 LDU de Quito
Original prediction
Palmeiras
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 73.8% | 50.4% | -23.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.98 | 18.8% | 29.2% | 10.4 pts |
| Away | 12.72 | 7.4% | 20.4% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.5 pts
Projected Score
Palmeiras 0–0 LDU de Quito
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PalmeirasDDDWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoWDLWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PalmeirasLDU de Quito
50.0Attack37.5
75.0Defence75.0
62.5Form58.3
63.9Power58.8
0.92xG0.61