Palmeirasvs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense
Original prediction
Palmeiras
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 55.0% | 55.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.8% | 27.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.52 | 17.2% | 17.0% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PalmeirasWWWWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FluminenseLLLWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PalmeirasFluminense
51.5Attack36.4
69.7Defence63.6
63.6Form39.4
63.5Power48.3
1.26xG0.57