Palmeirasvs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 2/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Palmeiras are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80