Palmeiras U20vs
Santos U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palmeiras U20 3-3 Santos U20
Original prediction
Palmeiras U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 13:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.7% | 50.3% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.7% | 24.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.6% | 25.3% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras U20
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Palmeiras U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20