Palmeiras U20vs
Botafogo U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/15/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palmeiras U20 4-1 Botafogo U20
Original prediction
Palmeiras U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.0% | 43.3% | -20.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.4% | 24.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.13 | 14.6% | 32.7% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras U20
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Palmeiras U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60