GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palm City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Palm City 2-1 Al Hamriyah

Original prediction

Palm City

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5534.8%37.1%2.2 pts
Draw3.3126.8%26.5%-0.3 pts
Away2.3138.4%36.4%-2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Palm City

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Palm City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Palm CityLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Al HamriyahWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Palm CityAl Hamriyah
50.0Attack16.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power37.5
1.68xG1.60
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