Palestinovs
Universidad de Concepcion
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palestino 2-1 Universidad de Concepcion
Original prediction
Palestino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 56.0% | 65.7% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.2% | 20.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.8% | 13.5% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60