GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Palestino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoLLDLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union Santa FeWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PalestinoUnion Santa Fe
14.3Attack11.1
66.7Defence55.6
28.6Form22.2
39.6Power33.0
0.88xG0.64
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