Palestinovs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Palestino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80