Palestinovs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palestino 2-3 U. Catolica
Original prediction
U. Catolica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 32.0% | 33.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.4% | 24.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.6% | 42.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60