PalestinovsSan Lorenzo

Palestino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.