Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Palestino are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while O'Higgins are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00