Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nublense are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.2 against 53.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40