GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 73.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoDWLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mushuc Runa SCLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PalestinoMushuc Runa SC
14.3Attack59.3
66.7Defence74.1
28.6Form81.5
39.6Power73.8
0.49xG1.29
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