Palestinovs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/15/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80