GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/27/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoWDWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza ECWWLLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PalestinoFortaleza EC
14.3Attack71.8
66.7Defence74.4
28.6Form76.9
39.6Power74.1
0.45xG1.60
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