Palestinovs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/19/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Palestino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20