Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cobresal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60