Copa ChileCopa Chile
Wednesday, 24 June 2026Last updated 15:02
Palestino

Palestino

Home
LDLW
12
Full time
A. Italiano

A. Italiano

Away
WL
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Palestino(61%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction missed— Result: A. Italiano
Win probability
Palestino
61%
Draw
22%
A. Italiano
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Palestino
64
A. Italiano
34
Defence
Palestino
46
A. Italiano
66
Momentum
Palestino
33
A. Italiano
50
Danger (xG)
Palestino
1.57
A. Italiano
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Palestino)
1.57
avg per match
xG for (A. Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Palestino)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (A. Italiano)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PalestinoPalestino
LDLWW
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
WLWWW

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Palestino61%
Draw22%
A. Italiano17%

Palestino leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Palestino head into this in Copa Chile fixture at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna in mixed form (LDLW), while A. Italiano arrive in mixed form (WL). Palestino have a 25% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 50% for A. Italiano over 2 games.

The model rates Palestino's attack at 64/100 against a 66/100 A. Italiano defence, and A. Italiano's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Palestino backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Palestino have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. A. Italiano have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

A. Italiano have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Palestino to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Palestino 6140%, Draw 2150%, A. Italiano 1710%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Palestino 0Draws 02 A. Italiano
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 2/2
30 Jun 2026
Palestino
L23
A. Italiano
24 Jun 2026
Palestino
L12
A. Italiano

Recent form

Palestino

Palestino

L
@ A. Italiano
30 Jun 2026
23
D
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
27 Jun 2026
00
L
vs A. Italiano
24 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Magallanes
20 Jun 2026
41
W
vs D. La Serena
16 May 2026
51
A. Italiano

A. Italiano

W
@ Magallanes
11 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
5 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Palestino
30 Jun 2026
32
W
vs Magallanes
27 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Palestino
24 Jun 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Palestino vs A. Italiano?

GoalVio's model predicts Palestino to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Palestino vs A. Italiano?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Palestino vs A. Italiano?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Palestino vs A. Italiano?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more