GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 6/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palestino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while A. Italiano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palestino

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

13.7%

Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
A. ItalianoLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PalestinoA. Italiano
48.1Attack40.7
51.9Defence53.7
50.0Form37.0
51.2Power45.3
1.47xG1.05
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