Palestinevs
New Zealand
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestine · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Palestine 0-0 New Zealand, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Palestine 2-2 New Zealand
Original prediction
Palestine
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 23.3% | 35.9% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.7% | 29.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.0% | 34.5% | -14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Projected Score
Palestine 0–0 New Zealand
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Palestine
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Palestine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PalestineDDLLW
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
New ZealandLLLLD
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PalestineNew Zealand
16.7Attack23.8
55.6Defence47.6
22.2Form28.6
34.8Power36.6
1.15xG0.84