Palermo U19vs
Perugia U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perugia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palermo U19 1-0 Perugia U19
Original prediction
Perugia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.0% | 33.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 25.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 40.9% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Perugia U19
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Perugia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80