Palermo U19vs
Bari U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palermo U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Palermo U19 2-2 Bari U19
Original prediction
Palermo U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.1% | 38.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.0% | 26.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 34.9% | 35.8% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Palermo U19
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Palermo U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00