GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB III - Southwest · 8/2/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Paksi SE II are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while MTK Budapest II are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest II hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the NB III - Southwest, while MTK Budapest II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest II

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

MTK Budapest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paksi SE IIWLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
MTK Budapest IIDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Paksi SE IIMTK Budapest II
41.7Attack100.0
25.0Defence58.3
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power62.2
1.38xG2.46
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