Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ujpest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Paks are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ujpest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ujpest hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the NB I, while Ujpest holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ujpest
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Ujpest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40