Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Paks are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dundee are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee hold a 42.5-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 90.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dundee holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundee
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Dundee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 8 · avg 5.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40