Paksvs
Debreceni VSC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paks 2-4 Debreceni VSC
Original prediction
Paks
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.6% | 49.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.4% | 23.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 28.0% | 27.1% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Paks
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Paks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaksDWLDL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Debreceni VSCDDDLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PaksDebreceni VSC
72.2Attack33.3
27.8Defence50.0
44.4Form33.3
49.3Power41.9
2.10xG1.36