Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pakhtakor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Navbahor are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pakhtakor hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Super League, while Pakhtakor holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20