Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pakhtakor 1-0 Andijan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pakhtakor 3-0 Andijan
Original prediction
Pakhtakor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.0% | 51.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 27.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.5% | 21.5% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
Pakhtakor 1–0 Andijan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PakhtakorDDWWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AndijanWWLLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PakhtakorAndijan
54.4Attack42.1
68.4Defence64.9
70.2Form47.4
66.8Power52.1
1.28xG0.69