Pakhtakorvs
Al-Qadisiyah FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/12/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pakhtakor 1-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.53 | 16.7% | 33.7% | 17.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.7% | 26.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 61.7% | 40.3% | -21.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20