Pakhtakor IIvs
Shortan
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Pro League A · 9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Pakhtakor II 0-2 Shortan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pakhtakor II 0-4 Shortan
Original prediction
Shortan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.82 | 15.4% | 7.8% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.4% | 15.2% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.2% | 77.1% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Projected Score
Pakhtakor II 0–2 Shortan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pakhtakor IILLWLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ShortanWWLLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pakhtakor IIShortan
22.8Attack54.4
26.3Defence66.7
17.5Form68.4
25.4Power64.6
0.49xG2.46