GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 8/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pakhtakor II · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Pakhtakor II 3-0 Qiziriq

Original prediction

Pakhtakor II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1342.2%42.2%-0.0 pts
Draw3.3926.6%25.9%-0.7 pts
Away2.8931.2%31.9%0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Pakhtakor II

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Pakhtakor II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pakhtakor IILWLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QiziriqLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pakhtakor IIQiziriq
20.8Attack22.9
18.8Defence22.9
14.6Form8.3
22.2Power22.5
1.28xG1.08
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