GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 4/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metalourg · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Pakhtakor II are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Metalourg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metalourg hold a 42.6-point power-rating edge (18.8 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Pro League A, while Metalourg holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metalourg

Probability

89.7%

Model confidence

16.0%

Metalourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pakhtakor IIWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
MetalourgWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pakhtakor IIMetalourg
19.0Attack73.8
14.3Defence69.0
9.5Form52.4
18.8Power61.4
0.45xG3.51
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