FA CupFA Cup
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Paju Citizen

Paju Citizen

Home
W
32
Full time
Gangneung City

Gangneung City

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Draw(24%)
Most likely exact score2-2
Prediction missed— Result: Paju Citizen
Win probability
Paju Citizen
37%
Draw
24%
Gangneung City
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Paju Citizen
94
Gangneung City
73
Defence
Paju Citizen
27
Gangneung City
46
Momentum
Paju Citizen
100
Gangneung City
50
Danger (xG)
Paju Citizen
2.70
Gangneung City
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Paju Citizen)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Gangneung City)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Paju Citizen)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Gangneung City)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Paju CitizenPaju Citizen
WD
Gangneung CityGangneung City
LW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Paju Citizen37%
Draw24%
Gangneung City40%

Gangneung City leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Paju Citizen head into this in FA Cup fixture in mixed form (W), while Gangneung City arrive in mixed form (LW). Paju Citizen have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Gangneung City over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Paju Citizen (94/100) and Gangneung City (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Paju Citizen have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Gangneung City have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Paju Citizen have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-2. Win probabilities: Paju Citizen 3674%, Draw 2355%, Gangneung City 3971%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Paju Citizen 1Draws 00 Gangneung City
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Paju Citizen
W32
Gangneung City

Recent form

Paju Citizen

Paju Citizen

W
vs Gangneung City
15 Jul 2026
32
D
@ Cheonan City
16 May 2026
00
Gangneung City

Gangneung City

L
@ Paju Citizen
15 Jul 2026
23
W
vs Jecheon Citizen
4 Jul 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-2.

Will both teams score in Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more