Paju Citizenvs
Daegu FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/4/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daegu FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paju Citizen 0-0 Daegu FC
Original prediction
Daegu FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.64 | 19.7% | 22.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.5% | 53.6% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Daegu FC
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Daegu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40