Paju Citizenvs
Cheongju
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 5/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Paju Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cheongju are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cheongju hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the K League 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00