Paju Citizenvs
Busan I Park
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan I Park · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paju Citizen 0-0 Busan I Park, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paju Citizen 1-1 Busan I Park
Original prediction
Busan I Park
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.34 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 29.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.7% | 41.7% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Paju Citizen 0–0 Busan I Park
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Busan I Park
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Busan I Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00