GGOALVIO

Paide logoPaidevsTrans Narva logoTrans Narva

COMPLETED

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paide · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Paide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trans Narva are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.0% in the Meistriliiga, while Paide holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paide

Probability

79.0%

Model confidence

79.0%

Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaideWLDLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Trans NarvaDWLWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PaideTrans Narva
52.4Attack25.8
55.6Defence24.2
55.6Form24.2
56.5Power27.5
2.78xG0.61
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