Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paide · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Paide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Laagri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Paide holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paide
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20