GGOALVIO

Paide logoPaidevsKuressaare logoKuressaare

COMPLETED

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/15/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paide · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Paide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kuressaare are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Paide holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paide

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaideWWLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KuressaareDWLDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PaideKuressaare
52.4Attack33.3
55.6Defence45.5
55.6Form31.8
56.5Power39.8
1.94xG0.77
View match centre →