Paidevs
FC Levadia Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paide 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.04 | 17.9% | 16.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 20.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.1% | 62.9% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80