GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/4/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paide II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Paide II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while K-Järve JK Järve are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide II hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 24.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Paide II holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paide II

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Paide II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paide IILLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
K-Järve JK JärveLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Paide IIK-Järve JK Järve
61.1Attack46.3
24.1Defence0.0
38.0Form18.5
41.4Power24.5
3.87xG1.91
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