GGOALVIO

World · OFC Champions League · 2/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pago · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Pago are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tupapa Maraerenga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupapa Maraerenga hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the OFC Champions League, while Pago holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pago

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Pago has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PagoDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Tupapa MaraerengaDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
PagoTupapa Maraerenga
33.3Attack61.1
33.3Defence11.1
22.2Form38.9
32.7Power37.1
2.46xG2.05
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