Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paganese · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paganese 3-0 Budoni
Original prediction
Paganese
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Paganese
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Paganese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaganeseDLWDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BudoniLDWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75
BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
PaganeseBudoni
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24