GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Pafos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

14.4%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PafosLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Red Bull SalzburgDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PafosRed Bull Salzburg
22.2Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
42.2Power80.3
1.11xG1.26
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