Pafosvs
Olympiakos
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pafos 1-0 Olympiakos, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pafos 0-0 Olympiakos
Original prediction
Pafos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 67.0% | 59.6% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.8% | 23.9% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 6.92 | 13.2% | 16.4% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Projected Score
Pafos 1–0 Olympiakos
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PafosWWWDD
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlympiakosDWWWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PafosOlympiakos
55.6Attack32.3
69.4Defence55.6
57.4Form40.4
60.6Power44.9
1.66xG0.52