Pafosvs
IF Elfsborg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/18/2024, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pafos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while IF Elfsborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80