Pafosvs
Dinamo Tirana
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pafos 4-2 Dinamo Tirana
Original prediction
Pafos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 71.4% | 38.8% | -32.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.96 | 18.8% | 25.6% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 9.48 | 9.8% | 35.6% | 25.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60