Pafosvs
Apoel Nicosia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pafos 0-0 Apoel Nicosia
Original prediction
Pafos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.5% | 44.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 25.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.7% | 29.7% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PafosLWLWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Apoel NicosiaWDLWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PafosApoel Nicosia
46.7Attack80.0
80.0Defence46.7
66.7Form46.7
64.9Power54.8
1.61xG1.27