Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Pafos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AEL are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WWDD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pafos hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the 1. Division, while Pafos holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00